The U.S. Senate — the "greatest deliberative
body in the world" — needs to get its act together. In July 1997, it voted 95-0
for the Byrd-Hagel Resolution that turned down any treaty that would ration
energy use and damage the economy of the United States. No wonder Clinton-Gore
never submitted the 1997 Kyoto Protocol for
ratification.
But this earlier unanimity seems
to be fading — largely because of the spread of scientific misinformation by
environmental pressure groups with little active opposition by the White House.
On the one hand, the Senate Energy and
Commerce Committee has just eliminated from its energy bill any language dealing
with climate change, thanks to the initiative and leadership of its chairman,
Pete Domenici. New Mexico Republican. If this title had been left in the bill
and survived a White House veto, it would have burdened U.S. consumers with
higher energy prices — with the money going to fat cats who had acquired what
amounts to ration coupons for energy fuels. Of course, there may still be
innocuous-sounding amendments slipped in during the upcoming debate to commit
the nation to some of the provisions of the Kyoto
Protocol.
While Mr. Domenici scored a victory
for the consumer, the Foreign Relations Committee under Sen. Richard Lugar,
Indiana Republican, passed a Sense-of-Congress Resolution, attached to the State
Department authorization bill, which endorsed all the worst features of the
climate-change scare. Offered originally by Sen. Joseph Biden, Delaware
Democrat, it is likely to be adopted by the Senate as a whole unless enough
Democrats vote against it.
The Resolution
accepts global-warming alarmism, heavily qualifies the unanimous 1997 vote on
Byrd-Hagel, urges the U.S. to negotiate another, bigger global-warming treaty,
and calls for lots of domestic actions in the meantime. It offers findings that
seem to support the Resolution — but they are contradicted by climate science.
Numbering them in the order listed, let's take a closer
look:
(1) While there have been increases in
atmospheric concentrations of man-made greenhouse gases, there is no direct
evidence whatsoever that they are contributing to global climate change. It is a
claim based purely on theoretical speculations — nothing
more.
(2) The Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) has concluded there is "new and stronger evidence" that
most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human
activities. However, the best data we have show no such warming. In other words,
the available evidence does not support the claim that temperature will rise
appreciably in this century.
(3) A hastily
prepared June 2001 report by the National Academy of Sciences appears to accept
the IPCC conclusion. But a more balanced NAS report of January 2000 accurately
reflects the current thinking of the scientific community — that there is a
disparity in the temperature observations and no scientific agreement about
reported warming. In any case, the NAS also noted "because there is considerable
uncertainty in current understanding of how the climate system varies naturally
and reacts to emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols, current estimates of
the magnitude of future warming should be regarded as tentative and subject to
future adjustments upward or downward."
(4) The
IPCC has stated that global sea levels have risen in the last 40 years, implying
a human cause. But it ignores the fact that this rise is ongoing and has
amounted to 400 feet since the end of the last ice age some 18,000 years
ago.
(5) While an October-2000 federal report
found that future climate change might harm the United States, this politically
inspired conclusion is clearly discredited by internal contradictions. The
Clinton-Gore White House, which sponsored the study, made a strategic error that
doomed the report's credibility. To make predictions, one needs to use a
regional climate model; the report relied on two such models. But they disagree
— often violently. For many of the 18 U.S. regions studied, they even give
opposite results: For example, one model predicts North Dakota would become a
swamp while the other turns it into a
desert.
(6) True, in 1992, the United States
did ratify the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC),
the ultimate objective of which is the "stabilization of greenhouse gas
concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous
anthropogenic interference with the climate system." But no one has yet figured
out what this level should be — or even whether it should be lower or higher
than the present one.
The remainder of the 13
findings deals with nonscientific topics that make sense only if we persist with
particular interpretations of the Climate Convention. Clearly, however,
adherence to the UNFCCC will continue to create mischief: The Senate should
consider withdrawing from the treaty. It certainly would never ratify the
treaty's misbegotten offspring, the infamous Kyoto Protocol that mandates what
amounts to energy rationing and higher fuel
costs.
There be no better time for the Senate
to act and to leave the Climate Treaty than now — since President Bush has
termed the Kyoto Protocol to be "fatally flawed" and contrary to American
interests.
S
Fred Singer is professor emeritus of environmental sciences at the University of
Virginia and president of the Science & Environmental Policy Project. He is
the author of "Hot Talk, Cold Science: Global Warming's Unfinished Debate" (The
Independent Institute, Oakland, Calif., 1999).
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